Federal Signal (Germany) Performance

FSG Stock  EUR 93.00  5.00  5.68%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.4, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Federal Signal will likely underperform. At this point, Federal Signal has a negative expected return of -0.0103%. Please make sure to confirm Federal Signal's mean deviation, downside deviation, standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Federal Signal performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Federal Signal has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Federal Signal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0052
Payout Ratio
0.1414
Forward Dividend Rate
0.48
Ex Dividend Date
2025-11-14
1
Federal Signal Corporation Receives Average Rating of Hold from Brokerages - MarketBeat
12/15/2025
2
Redhawk Wealth Advisors Inc. Purchases Shares of 13,901 Federal Signal Corporation FSS - MarketBeat
12/19/2025
3
All you need to know about Federal Signal rating upgrade to buy - MSN
12/29/2025
4
Will Federal Signal Corporation stock benefit from upcoming earnings reports - July 2025 Chart Watch High Yield Stock Recommendations - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
5
Federal Signal shareholders have earned a 28 percent CAGR over the last five years - simplywall.st
01/14/2026
6
Universal Beteiligungs und Servicegesellschaft mbH Purchases 43,684 Shares of Federal Signal Corporation FSS - MarketBeat
01/23/2026
7
3 Key Factors That Make Federal Signal Attractive to Investors - bitget.com
02/02/2026
8
Assessing Federal Signal Valuation As Strong Growth Expectations Draw Fresh Investor Attention - simplywall.st
02/06/2026
  

Federal Signal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,787  in Federal Signal on November 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (487.00) from holding Federal Signal or give up 4.98% of portfolio value over 90 days. Federal Signal is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 3.9004% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 35% of traded stocks are less volatile than Federal, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federal Signal is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.76 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Federal Signal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Federal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 93.00 90 days 93.00 
about 28.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federal Signal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.94 (This Federal Signal probability density function shows the probability of Federal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Federal Signal will likely underperform. Additionally Federal Signal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Federal Signal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Federal Signal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federal Signal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.0292.9296.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.8176.71102.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
84.7088.6192.51
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.420.460.48
Details

Federal Signal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federal Signal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federal Signal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federal Signal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federal Signal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.40
σ
Overall volatility
4.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.0002

Federal Signal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federal Signal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federal Signal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Federal Signal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Federal Signal has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Federal Signal is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Assessing Federal Signal Valuation As Strong Growth Expectations Draw Fresh Investor Attention - simplywall.st

Federal Signal Fundamentals Growth

Federal Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Federal Signal, and Federal Signal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Federal Stock performance.

About Federal Signal Performance

By analyzing Federal Signal's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Federal Signal's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Federal Signal has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Federal Signal has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Federal Signal Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies a suite of products and integrated solutions for municipal, governmental, industrial, and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, Europe, and internationally. Federal Signal Corporation was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois. FED SIGNAL operates under Pollution Treatment Controls classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 3300 people.

Things to note about Federal Signal performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Federal Signal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Federal Signal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Federal Signal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Federal Signal has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Federal Signal is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Assessing Federal Signal Valuation As Strong Growth Expectations Draw Fresh Investor Attention - simplywall.st
Evaluating Federal Signal's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Federal Signal's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Federal Signal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Federal Signal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Federal Signal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Federal Signal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Federal Signal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Federal Signal's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Federal Signal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Federal Signal's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Federal Signal's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Federal Signal's price analysis, check to measure Federal Signal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Signal is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Signal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Signal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Signal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Signal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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